A great observation from Moe Lane at Red State:
It’s the partisan identification poll, and it currently lists Democrats at 35%, Republicans at 33.8%, and Neither at 31.1%. Unsurprising, based on recent events, right? - Also, it’s a poll of adults, so this probably means a Republican advantage among likely voters, as that’s the usual rule of thumb for these things. So, nothing really unusual here, right?
Wrong. If this poll is accurate, it’s a harbinger of DOOM for the Democrats.
Lane points out that the party gaining supporters in the months leading up to an election have WON all those elections. And—this is a real shocker—if current trends hold, self-identified Republicans could be tied with Democrats. That. Never. Happens. (GOP winners have to get their votes from independents.)
Here’s the poll history. Check it out for yourself. Once again, the key numbers to note are the trend in the months leading up to the 2004/06/08 elections. The party with the growth trend wins. The one losing affiliation loses.
"The truth is something [Warren] probably prefers not to confront. Harvard doesn’t come calling just because you’re a smart lawyer and a terrific teacher — not with Warren’s modest, Oklahoma upbringing and non-Ivy League education. She is not your typical Harvard professor. At a certain point, when the law school was under pressure to promote diversity, she represented a three-fer: a great lawyer with a national profile, a woman, and a minority, at least by virtue of family lore. "
-- Joan Vennochi
